There are few books that stay with you for years after you read them and Superforecasting by Dr. Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner was one of them for me. I was excited to read the following review by Adam Pascarella. Adam is the founder and CEO of Second Order Capital Management. He is a graduate of the University of Michigan and the University of Pennsylvania Law School.
It’s almost like we are all surfers trying to catch waves. We get up on our surfboards, make some predictions, and, ideally, ride waves as they crest. We don’t always get it right, but we make the best decisions with the information that we have.