Welcome to edition 400 of Insider Weekends. Insider buying almost doubled last week with insiders purchasing $83.39 million of stock compared to $46.39 million in the week prior. Selling also increased with insiders selling $1.36 billion of stock last week compared to $994.97 million in the week prior.
Little did I expect the S&P 500 to go up for five straight sessions and register a gain of 4.3% for the week after I wrote that I think the risk remains on the downside in this market. My opinion has not changed but the market action last week was a reminder that market action in the short-term is highly unpredictable. Even the Superforecasters featured in Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner’s excellent book Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction were only right about 66% of the time. I did expect insider activity to pick up steam and we did see that happen last week. None of the top 5 insider purchases stood out but we did see Leon Cooperman’s Omega Capital add to their stake in mortgage company Ditech Holdings (DHCP) just like they did with mortgage servicing company Ocwen Financial (OCN) in the week prior.
Sell/Buy Ratio: The insider Sell/Buy ratio is calculated by dividing the total insider sales in a given week by total insider purchases that week. The adjusted ratio for last week dropped to 16.36. In other words, insiders sold more than 16 times as much stock as they purchased. The Sell/Buy ratio this week compares favorably with the prior week, when the ratio stood at 21.45.
Note: As mentioned in the first post in this series, certain industries have their preferred metrics such as same store sales for retailers, funds from operations (FFO) for REITs and revenue per available room (RevPAR) for hotels that provide a better basis for comparison than simple valuation metrics. However metrics like Price/Earnings, Price/Sales and Enterprise Value/EBITDA included below should provide a good starting point for analyzing the majority of stocks.
Notable Insider Buys:
1. Post Holdings, Inc. (POST): $78.5
Director William P. Stiritz acquired 100,000 shares of this cereal products company, paying $71.99 per share for a total amount of $7.19 million. Mr. Stiritz increased his stake by 7.08% to 1,512,362 shares with this purchase.
You can view the list of recent insider transactions for here.
P/E: 23.80 | Forward P/E: 13.87 | Industry P/E: 21.75 |
P/S: 0.95 | Price/Book: 1.7 | EV/EBITDA: 10.98 |
Market Cap: $5.15B | Avg. Daily Volume: 891,580 | 52 Week Range: $71.06 – $89.04 |
2. Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR): $13.05
Shares of this investment company were acquired by 3 insiders:
You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. here.
P/E: 60.42 | Forward P/E: N/A | Industry P/E: 39.79 |
P/S: 2.17 | Price/Book: 3.1 | EV/EBITDA: 10.43 |
Market Cap: $871.98M | Avg. Daily Volume: 938,600 | 52 Week Range: $11.03 – $13.13 |
3. Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI): $33.77
Shares of this casino real estate investment trust were acquired by 2 insiders:
You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. here.
P/E: 18.87 | Forward P/E: 15.71 | Industry P/E: 37.79 |
P/S: 7.39 | Price/Book: 2.88 | EV/EBITDA: 15.88 |
Market Cap: $7.18B | Avg. Daily Volume: 1,191,816 | 52 Week Range: $30.22 – $39.32 |
4. Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC): $6.82
Chief Executive Officer John F. Barry acquired 467,178 shares of this business development company, paying $6.73 per share for a total amount of $3.14 million. Mr. Barry increased his stake by 1.42% to 33,259,333 shares with this purchase.
You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Prospect Capital Corporation here.
P/E: 8.23 | Forward P/E: 9.09 | Industry P/E: 19.07 |
P/S: N/A | Price/Book: N/A | EV/EBITDA: N/A |
Market Cap: $2.47B | Avg. Daily Volume: 2,764,177 | 52 Week Range: $5.51 – $9.58 |
5. Odonate Therapeutics, Inc. (ODT): $24.95
Chief Executive Officer Kevin C. Tang acquired 128,255 shares of this oncology focused pharmaceutical company, paying $22.47 per share for a total amount of $2.88 million. These shares were purchased indirectly by Tang Capital Management, LLC.
You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Odonate Therapeutics, Inc. here.
P/E: N/A | Forward P/E: -7.01 | Industry P/E: 32.03 |
P/S: N/A | Price/Book: 2.47 | EV/EBITDA: -8.73 |
Market Cap: $681.92M | Avg. Daily Volume: 77,979 | 52 Week Range: $15.15 – $25.36 |
You can view the full list of purchases from this Insider Buying page.
Notable Insider Sales:
1. Facebook, Inc. (FB): $177.36
Shares of Facebook were sold by 3 insiders:
You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Facebook, Inc. here.
P/E: 34.37 | Forward P/E: 20.06 | Industry P/E: 36.34 |
P/S: 12.67 | Price/Book: 6.93 | EV/EBITDA: 20.71 |
Market Cap: $515.23B | Avg. Daily Volume: 21,856,027 | 52 Week Range: $132.9 – $195.32 |
2. Snap Inc. (SNAP): $20.42
Shares of this camera company were sold by 2 insiders:
It was interesting to see Snap insiders sell into the post-earnings bounce after reporting four quarter results where revenue grew 72%, daily active users increased 18% (yoy) and net loss of 13 cents per share was narrower than expected.
You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Snap Inc. here.
P/E: N/A | Forward P/E: -53.74 | Industry P/E: 32.35 |
P/S: 30.25 | Price/Book: 8.34 | EV/EBITDA: -6.69 |
Market Cap: $24.96B | Avg. Daily Volume: 25,879,657 | 52 Week Range: $11.28 – $29.44 |
3. Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT): $47.23
Chairman, CEO and President Mark Casale sold 500,000 shares of this mortgage investment company for $44.61, generating $22.31million from the sale.
You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Essent Group Ltd. here.
P/E: 11.84 | Forward P/E: 9.28 | Industry P/E: 16.03 |
P/S: 8.06 | Price/Book: 2.35 | EV/EBITDA: 11.14 |
Market Cap: $4.65B | Avg. Daily Volume: 694,770 | 52 Week Range: $33.45 – $50.08 |
4. Alphabet Inc. (GOOG): $1
Shares of Alphabet were sold by 2 insiders:
You can view the list of recent insider transactions for Alphabet Inc. here.
P/E: 60.84 | Forward P/E: 22.55 | Industry P/E: 36.34 |
P/S: 6.88 | Price/Book: 4.99 | EV/EBITDA: 18.54 |
Market Cap: $762.13B | Avg. Daily Volume: 1,619,731 | 52 Week Range: $803.37 – $1 |
5. PROS Holdings, Inc. (PRO): $32.48
Shares of this application software company were sold by 3 insiders:
You can view the list of recent insider transactions for PROS Holdings, Inc. here.
P/E: N/A | Forward P/E: -66.29 | Industry P/E: 32.35 |
P/S: 6.15 | Price/Book: N/A | EV/EBITDA: -20.3 |
Market Cap: $1.04B | Avg. Daily Volume: 241,198 | 52 Week Range: $21.36 – $33.2 |
You can view the full list of sales from this Insider Sales page.
Disclaimer: Please do your own due diligence before buying or selling any securities mentioned in this article. We do not warrant the completeness or accuracy of the content or data provided in this article.
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